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Vladimir Putin

After U.S.-Russia, NATO-Russia and OSCE Meetings, What Next?

Commentary / January 13, 2022
During the last two months of 2021, Russia created a crisis by deploying large military forces near Ukraine and demanding security guarantees from the United States and NATO.
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CTBTO Executive Secretary Lassina Zerbo

Key nuclear treaty review plagued by COVID delays as distrust grows

Commentary / January 10, 2022
Today’s security environment calls for a renewed commitment to nonproliferation. No country alone can reverse adverse developments in Iran and dissuade others from seeking nuclear arsenals. Effective nonproliferation efforts must be global. But distrust among NPT members may prevent the necessary coordination.
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woman smiling

How Fake Spies Ruin Real Intelligence

Commentary / January 9, 2022
Spy-themed entertainment is standing in for adult education on the subject, and although the idea might seem far-fetched, fictional spies are actually shaping public opinion and real intelligence policy.
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Man smiling

Kremlin’s unwillingness to recognize Ukraine as a sovereign state has resulted in major strategic failure for Russia, Stanford scholar says

Q&As / January 6, 2022
As Russia increases its military presence along the Ukrainian border, Stanford scholar Steven Pifer discusses what Russia hopes to achieve and why its policies toward Ukraine are backfiring.
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Cyber Threats and Nuclear Weapons

Herbert Lin On Cyber Threats And Nuclear Weapons

Q&As / January 5, 2022
In this Q&A, Lin discusses his recently released book Cyber Threats and Nuclear Weapons. He explains that until this publication, the literature about cyber technology’s impact on the nuclear enterprise has been relatively sparse.
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Man smiling

Europe's Defense against Russia is, and should Remain, NATO's Core Mission

Commentary / December 28, 2021
In 1991, some 50 years after NATO’s establishment for the defense of Western Europe against a Soviet military threat, the Warsaw Pact disbanded and the Soviet Union collapsed.
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Russian Flag

Russia’s draft agreements with NATO and the United States: Intended for rejection?

Commentary / December 21, 2021
Russia maintains the world’s largest nuclear arsenal and the most powerful conventional military forces in Europe. Russian military units currently are deployed — uninvited and unwanted — in Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova.
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Vladimir Putin

Does the Kremlin Understand Ukraine? Apparently Not

Commentary / December 21, 2021
The abject failure of Russian policy toward Ukraine over the past seven years suggests Vladimir Putin has a flawed understanding of the country.
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Valdimir Putin making a speech

Will Russia launch a full military invasion of Ukraine?

Commentary / December 16, 2021
As Russian troops gather on Ukraine’s borders, the outstanding question is whether Russian President Putin is prepared to bear the domestic and international costs of a full-scale invasion or if he’ll stop at pressuring NATO and the West for political concessions.
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Person in suit looking at a smartphone

China’s Fake Twitter Accounts Are Tweeting Into the Void

News / December 15, 2021
China’s state-linked influence operations get very little engagement on Twitter.
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Herb Lin

Responding to Fischerkeller on Initiative Persistence

Commentary / December 14, 2021
I have struggled to find something with which I disagree in Michael Fischerkeller’s response to my thought experiment adopting the 2018 U.S. Cyber Command (USCC) Command Vision. A couple of such points are addressed below, but for the most part I agree with him. He does make one claim that I find surprising.
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The flags of Association of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN) members in ASEAN headquarter at Jalan Sisingamangaraja No.70A, South Jakarta, Indonesia. From left the flags of: Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thail

China Wants to Join Southeast Asia’s Nuclear-Free Zone. Why Now?

Commentary / December 9, 2021
President Xi Jinping recently announced that China wants to adhere to Southeast Asia’s nuclear-free zone “as early as possible" to become the first nuclear state to join the pact. Musto finds that Xi wants to act now in order to distract from China’s nuclear build-up and, more importantly, counter the AUKUS security partnership.
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photo of a tank

Is Russia preparing for war?

Commentary / December 9, 2021
As Russia builds up forces near Ukraine, it continues to insist its troops are there simply to conduct military exercises. While exercises are routine, they have also historically been used by Russia and others to prepare for war and to cover up plans for surprise attacks.
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Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin shaking hands

Russia-Ukraine: Biden did the Needed with Putin

Commentary / December 8, 2021
US President Joe Biden and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin spoke via video link for around two hours on December 7 in a hastily arranged virtual summit to address international concerns over a major Russian military build-up along the country’s border with Ukraine.
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Man smiling

Will Russia Invade Ukraine?

Commentary / December 7, 2021
All eyes are on Ukraine (including ours). Steven Pifer, a William J. Perry Research Fellow at CISAC and former ambassador to Ukraine, joins co-host Tom Collina to discuss Putin’s motivations for Ukraine and more.
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President Biden and Vladimir Putin

What Biden should say to Putin on Ukraine

Commentary / December 6, 2021
President Joe Biden will hold a secure video call with Russian President Vladimir Putin December 7 against the backdrop of a menacing Russian military build-up near Ukraine. U.S. intelligence believes the Russians may amass 175,000 troops near its western neighbor early in 2022.
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A US Air Force commander simulates launching a nuclear weapon during a test.

Interview: Stanford’s Herbert Lin on “Cyber Threats and Nuclear Weapons”

Q&As / November 30, 2021
Much of the technology now controlling US nuclear weapons was produced before the rise of the Internet. Newer technology will improve aspects of command, control, and communications related to the US nuclear arsenal. But if not carefully planned, the updating of nuclear technology could also increase risk in distinct ways that Herbert Lin explains in the following interview.
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Chinese military propaganda depicting the Second Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1958.

Reassessing China’s Capabilities and Goals for Strategic Competition

News / November 29, 2021
On the World Class podcast, Oriana Skylar Mastro argues that in order to set effective policy toward China, the United States needs to better understand how and why China is projecting power.
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Reichstag, Berlin

Why Do Governments Reveal Cyber Intrusions?

Commentary / November 24, 2021
Germany held federal elections Sept. 26 to select the new members of the Bundestag. Neither of the leading parties secured enough seats to govern alone. While the three parties likely to constitute Germany’s next governing coalition announced are close to a deal, concerns of election meddling and cyber intrusions have made the political situation more complex.
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President Joe Biden participates in a virtual meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping

Lessons from the Cold War on Preventing a U.S.-China Arms Race

Commentary / November 23, 2021
After months of watching hundreds of new nuclear missile silos being dug in the dirt northwest of Beijing, it is welcome news that President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping seemingly agreed at last week’s summit on the need for strategic stability talks.
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Man smiling

Need something to worry about: Here comes space junk.

Commentary / November 22, 2021
As if living in space weren’t difficult enough. The Russian military recently tested a direct-ascent antisatellite, or ASAT, missile on an old Soviet orbital, Cosmos 1408.
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President of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro

Brazilian Senate Recommends Charging Bolsonaro for Mismanagement of the Covid-19 Pandemic

News / November 22, 2021
Opposition lawmakers in Brazil voted in favor of charging the president with crimes against humanity for downplaying and mishandling the pandemic.
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woman smiling

The Belarus border crisis shows it’s getting easier to ‘weaponize’ refugees

Commentary / November 22, 2021
Countries like Belarus are counting on E.U. governments to see refugees as a security threat.
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Picture of Vladimir Putin at a podium

Will Putin Miscalculate? 

Commentary / November 18, 2021
Europe currently faces several crises exploited or instigated by Russia.  Speculation runs rampant regarding what Vladimir Putin hopes to achieve.  He should take care not to overplay his hand.
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Photo of Oriana Skylar Mastro

'Xi Jinping '100 per cent' can be trusted': US warned over Taiwan independence

Commentary / November 16, 2021
China’s President Xi Jinping can “100 per cent” be trusted and warned western nations would be making a “big mistake” if they didn’t take the superpower’s threats to forcefully retake Taiwan seriously, says Stanford University’s Oriana Skylar Mastro.
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