Science and Technology
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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall East, 2nd floor

Scott Straus Dept. of Political Science Speaker U.C. Berkeley
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An influential conventional wisdom holds that civil wars proliferated rapidly with the end of the Cold War and that the root cause of many or most of these has been ethnic and religious antagonisms. We show that the current prevalence of internal war is mainly the result of a steady accumulation of protracted conflicts since the 1950s and 1960s rather than a sudden change associated with a new, post-Cold War international system. We also find that after controlling for per capita income, more ethnically or religiously diverse countries have been no more likely to experience significant civil violence in this period. We argue for understanding civil war in this period in terms of insurgency or rural guerrilla warfare, a particular form of military practice that can be harnessed to diverse political agendas. The factors that explain which countries have been at risk for civil war are not their ethnic or religious characteristics but rather the conditions that favor insurgency. These include poverty--which marks financially & bureaucratically weak states and also favors rebel recruitment--political instability, rough terrain, and large populations.

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Publication Type
Journal Articles
Publication Date
Journal Publisher
American Political Science Review
Authors
James D. Fearon
David Laitin
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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room

Dean Wilkening Science Program Director Speaker
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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room

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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, 2nd floor, Encina Hall East

Joel Primack Professor of Physics University of California, Santa Cruz
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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room

Joshua Epstein Senior Fellow in Economic Studies Brookings Institution
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