Possible Indian reaction to U.S. ratification of the CTBT

  • After opting out of Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty negotiations in 1996, India still hasn't signed the treaty.
  • While India has begun to interact more and more with the nonproliferation regime, it's unlikely that New Delhi will ratify the CTBT anytime soon--even if the U.S. Senate does so.
  • The more likely outcome is India continuing its voluntary testing moratorium, leaving the CTBT's other signatories to figure out how to make the treaty work without New Delhi's involvement.