Recent Scholarly Publications

Records 24 / 49

The Existential Threat From Cyber-enabled Information Warfare

July 2019

Corruption of the information ecosystem is not just a multiplier of two long-acknowledged existential threats to the future of humanity—climate change and nuclear weapons.

The unbearable lightness of luck. Three sources of overconfidence in the manageability of nuclear crises

July 2017

Overconfidence in the controllability of nuclear weapons creates danger. The passing of the last elite witness of the most dangerous nuclear crisis, i.e.

Office of the Director of National Intelligence: From Pariah and Piñata to Managing Partner

June 2017

This is a chapter in the second edition of The National Security Enterprise, a book edited by Roger Z.

When Science Brought Americans and Russians Together

April 2017

Siegfried Hecker describes the scientific collaboration that took place between Russian and American nuclear weapons laboratories following the end of the Cold War.

Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy

January 2017

Are nuclear weapons useful for coercive diplomacy?

Summary and Briefings from the Stanford-China Workshop on Reducing Risks of Nuclear Terrorism

January 2017

The Summary and Briefings from the Stanford-China Workshop on Reducing Risks of Nuclear Terrorism is the result of a collaborative project engaging researchers from the Center for International...

Unclear Physics: Why Iraq and Libya Failed to Build Nuclear Weapons

September 2016

 In Unclear Physics, Malfrid Braut-Hegghammer tells the story of the Iraqi and Libyan programs from their origins in the late 1950s and 1960s until their dismantling.

Perspectives on Complex Global Challenges: Education, Energy, Healthcare, Security, and Resilience

July 2016

This book discusses issues in large-scale systems in the United States and around the world.

Doomed to Cooperate

June 2016

Doomed to Cooperate tells the remarkable story of nuclear scientists from two former enemy nations, Russia and the United States, who reached across political, geographic, and cultural divides to...

The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century

December 2015

Brad Roberts's book is a counter to the conventional wisdom that the United States can and should do more to reduce both the role of nuclear weapons in its security strategies and the number of...

Flash from the past: Why an apparent Israeli nuclear test in 1979 matters today

September 2015

The paper provides technical and circumstantial evidence that the detection of a "double flash" by a Vela satellite on 9/22/79 was that of an Israeli nuclear test logistically assisted by South...

Nuclear Weapons and the Escalation of the Cold War, 1945-1962 (chapter)

August 2015

Nuclear weapons are so central to the history of the Cold War that it can be difficult to disentangle the two. Did nuclear weapons cause the Cold War? Did they contribute to its escalation?

Remembering the Cuban missile crisis, with humility

November 2014

The so-called “Cuban missile crisis” is turning 52, but it is certainly not forgotten; on the contrary, almost everyone seems to have an opinion on it.

Arguments that Count: Physics, Computing, and Missile Defense, 1949-2012

August 2013

Overview (From http://mitpress.mit.edu/books/arguments-count):In a rapidly changing world, we rely upon experts to assess the promise and risks of new technology.

Disciplining Technopolitics: Physics, Computing, and the ‘Star Wars’ Debate

December 2011

Abstract: How do experts evaluate complex techno-political futures? This essay addresses the question by showing how scientists and engineers confronted U.S.

Global Missile Defense Cooperation and China

December 2011

Abstract:US-Russia ballistic missile defense (BMD) cooperation can improve strategic stability between both countries, but this cooperation would pose a potential threat to China’s strategic...

Worrying About Washington: China's Views on the US Nuclear Posture

March 2011

Abstract Chinese commentators assessing the 2010 US Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) acknowledged a number of ways in which they felt it was "better" than the 2001 NPR but still found much to criticize...

Russia and the 2010 Nuclear Posture Review

March 2011

Abstract The 2010 Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) conducted by the United States has become an important element of the US-Russian relationship, for the policies set during the review process directly...

From Death Rays to Light Sabers: Making Laser Weapons Surgically Precise

January 2011

Abstract: This paper explores how, in the two decades following the laser's invention, the popular image of the laser weapon was transformed from a terrifying "death ray" capable of contaminating...

Assessment of Long Range Laser Weapon Engagements: The Case of the Airborne Laser

January 2010

This article presents a method developed to assess laser Directed Energy Weapon engagements. This method applies physics-based models, which have been validated by experiments.

Shifting From a Nuclear Triad to a Nuclear Dyad

September 2009

Jeff Richardson, a senior scientist at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, outlines the rationale for retiring land-based ballistic missiles and leaving a strategic dyad of submarine-launched...

Iran's Nuclear and Missile Potential: A Joint Threat Assessment by U.S. and Russian Technical Experts

May 2009

A confluence of events has presented the Russian Federation and the United States with an unusual opportunity to transform their relationship.

The U.S. satellite shootdown: An unnecessary action

February 2008

The intercept of the disabled USA-193 spy satellite the United States conducted on February 20 set a new benchmark for military exercises that have no benefits, but come at a tremendous political...

Discursive Choices: Boycotting Star Wars Between Science and Politics

February 2007

AbstractFew presidential initiatives have attracted more public ridicule from scientists and engineers than ‘Star Wars’, Ronald Reagan’s 1983 proposal to build a missile defense system that would...


Jan Stupl Jan M. Stupl Affiliate
rsd19 072 0453a Brad Roberts Affiliate
Adam Segal Adam Segal Affiliate