Policy Analysis

Recent Publications

Records 48 / 995

Behavioral Economics and Nuclear Weapons

August 2019

Recent discoveries in psychology and neuroscience have improved our understanding of why our decision making processes fail to match standard social science assumptions about rationality.

The Next Director of National Intelligence: A Thankless Job Is Getting Even Harder

August 2019

At the end of July, Dan Coats, the U.S. director of national intelligence (DNI), announced his resignation. When he leaves office on August 15, the U.S.

Drones, Surveillance, and Violence: Theory and Evidence from a US Drone Program

July 2019

Abstract We investigate the impact of the US drone program in Pakistan on insurgent violence.

The Existential Threat From Cyber-enabled Information Warfare

July 2019

Corruption of the information ecosystem is not just a multiplier of two long-acknowledged existential threats to the future of humanity—climate change and nuclear weapons.

What Really Went Wrong at WIPP: An Insider’s View of Two Accidents at the Only US Underground Nuclear Waste Repository

July 2019

Within a 10-day period in February 2014, two accidents happened at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) in New Mexico – the United States’ only underground repository for nuclear waste.

Spies, Lies, and Algorithms: Why U.S. Intelligence Agencies Must Adapt or Fail

May 2019

For U.S. intelligence agencies, the twenty-first century began with a shock, when 19 al Qaeda operatives hijacked four planes and perpetrated the deadliest attack ever on U.S. soil.

Anomalous behavior of nonequilibrium excitations in UO2

April 2019

Click here to view article Abstract: Ultrafast optical pump-probe studies of uranium dioxide (UO2) under pressure were performed in order to better understand the material's response to ionizing...

International Intervention and the Rule of Law after Civil War: Evidence from Liberia

April 2019

What are the effects of international intervention on the rule of law after civil war?

Constructing the Field of Terrorism

March 2019

Abstract: This chapter reviews the evolution of Martha Crenshaw’s interests in and approaches to researching terrorism, a trajectory that begins in the 1960s and extends to the present.

Cyber negotiation: a cyber risk management approach to defend urban critical infrastructure from cyberattacks

March 2019

Abstract: Technical tools dominate the cyber risk management market. Social cybersecurity tools are severely underutilised in helping organisations defend themselves against cyberattacks.

Whither Non-Alignment? Indian Ocean Zone of Peace and New Delhi’s Selective Alignment with Great Powers during the Cold War, 1964–1979

February 2019

First proposed in 1964 by the Sri Lankan prime minister, the Indian Ocean Zone of Peace [IOZP] entailed eradication of foreign military bases from the Indian Ocean region as well its...

Bytes, Bombs, and Spies - The Strategic Dimensions of Offensive Cyber Operations

January 2019

Offensive cyber operations have become increasingly important elements of U.S. national security policy.

Noncitizen Soldiers: Explaining Foreign Recruitment by Modern State Militaries

January 2019

More than a century after citizen armies became an international norm, nearly two dozen states actively recruit foreigners into their militaries.

Probabilistic Performance Assessment vs. the Safety Case Approach

January 2019

The “safety case” approach has been developed to address the issue of evaluating the performance of a geologic repository in the face of the large uncertainty that results for evaluations that...

Evolution and Structure of the Scientific Basis for Nuclear Waste Management

December 2018

The final disposal of nuclear waste is at the interface between the technologies of the nuclear fuel cycle that produce the waste and the natural hydrologic and geochemical cycles of geologic...

Editing Biosecurity: Needs and Strategies for Governing Genome Editing

December 2018

This study’s purpose was to highlight the changing safety and security landscape engendered by the emergence of new genome editing technologies, help policy-makers and other stakeholders navigate...

Reset of America’s Nuclear Waste Management Strategy and Policies

December 2018

The U.S. government has worked for decades and spent tens of billions of dollars in search of a permanent resting place for the Nation’s nuclear waste.

George Washington Was a Master of Deception

November 2018

Abstract: The Founding Fathers relied on deceit in championing American independence—and that has lessons for the present.

Mission Impossible? Socio-technical Integration of Nuclear Waste Geological Disposal Systems

November 2018

Abstract: We present a new perspective on geological disposal systems for nuclear waste.

From Denial to Punishment: The Security Dilemma and Changes in India’s Military Strategy towards China

November 2018

This article argues that China’s rise and its growing military power have intensified the Sino-Indian security dilemma.

What Explains Counterterrorism Effectiveness? Evidence from the U.S. Drone War in Pakistan

November 2018

Abstract For years, the U.S. government has been waging counterterrorism campaigns against al-Qaida and other armed groups in safe havens and weak states.

What Explains Counterterrorism Effectiveness? Evidence from the U.S. Drone War in Pakistan

November 2018

For years, the U.S. government has been waging counterterrorism campaigns against al-Qaida and other armed groups in safe havens and weak states.

Not Just a War Theory: American Public Opinion on Ethics in Combat

October 2018

This article assesses American public attitudes toward the just war principles of proportionality, due care and distinction.

People

Sagan, Scott 2012 photo Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
bmkhigh Beatriz Magaloni Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
Martha Crenshaw Martha Crenshaw Senior Fellow, Emerita, Professor, by courtesy, Political Science, Emerita
Jenny Martinez Headshot Jenny Martinez Senior Fellow, by courtesy Professor, Law
1 RSD13 085 0052a 001 David Relman Senior Fellow Professor, Medicine, Professor, Microbiology and Immunology
Gabrielle Hecht Gabrielle Hecht Senior Fellow Professor, History
steven pifer Steven Pifer William J. Perry Fellow
U.S. soldier posing for picture Dean L. Winslow Senior Fellow, courtesy Professor, Medicine
michael mcfaul 2 Michael A. McFaul Director, Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science, Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution
Naimark, Norman Norman M. Naimark Senior Fellow, by courtesy Professor, History, Professor, by courtesy, German Studies, Senior Fellow, the Hoover Institution
blaydes2 Lisa Blaydes Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
thumbnail ddo photo Joseph Felter Lecturer