Nuclear Risk

Scholarly Publications

Chronic long-term risk of low-level radiation exposure: Bridging the lay/expert divide.

August 2018

Abstrac: The failure of experts and lay people to understand each other has been fueling conflict around the environmental clean-up of the many sites in the United States that are contaminated by...

The unbearable lightness of luck. Three sources of overconfidence in the manageability of nuclear crises

July 2017

Overconfidence in the controllability of nuclear weapons creates danger. The passing of the last elite witness of the most dangerous nuclear crisis, i.e.

Other Publications

US-Russia rift threatens science ties that keep us safe

December 2016

Siegfried Hecker describes Russia's systematic termination of nuclear cooperation with the United States and the harmful consequences that this could have for both countries.

Hecker & Milani: Stop killing Iranian nuclear scientists

January 2015

CISAC's Siegfried Hecker and Abbas Milani note in this article for the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists that for merely working in their field of expertise, Iranian nuclear scientists face perils and...

Iran's Path to Nuclear Peace

January 2014

CISAC and FSI Senior Fellows Siegfried Hecker and Bill Perry write in this OpEd in The New York Times that Iran has little to show for its 50-year pursuit of a nuclear program.

News

Ukraine, nuclear weapons and the trilateral statement 25 years later

January 2019

Today, January 14, marks the 25th anniversary of the Trilateral Statement.  Signed in Moscow by President Bill Clinton, Russian President Boris Yeltsin and Ukrainian President Leonid Kravchuk, the...

Why will it take at least ten years for North Korea to abandon its nuclear program? Q&A with Dr. Siegfried Hecker

December 2018

Recently, the leaders of the two Koreas met again, and they signed a joint declaration which they said would bring peace to the Peninsula. How do you like the meeting and the declaration?

Why insisting on a North Korean nuclear declaration up front is a big mistake

November 2018

My reply to the frequently asked question if Kim Jong Un will ever give up North Korea’s nuclear weapons is, “I don’t know, and most likely he doesn’t know either.

Events

Nuclear Posture Review

December 14, 2018

Nuclear Disarmament Verification via Resonant Phenomena

December 14, 2018

Abstract: Nuclear disarmament treaties are not sufficient in and of themselves to neutralize the existential threat of the nuclear weapons.

The Stopping Power of Law: Saturation Bombing, Civilian Immunity and US Attitudes Toward the Norms and Laws of War

December 14, 2018

Abstract: Sagan and Valentino's path-breaking survey of public opinion American attitudes towards the laws of war found Americans are relatively insensitive to international norms and taboos...

Projects

Regional Conflict and Cooperation

Regional conflicts present their own set of unique challenges to the international community.
English

Nuclear Risk Reduction

The Nuclear Risk Reduction initiative engages technical and policy experts to reduce nuclear risks by promoting collaboration between the United States and Russia, China and Pakistan.
English

Multimedia

2016 Drell Lecture: William J. Perry - A National Security Walk Around the World

February 2016

Former U.S. Secretary of Defense William J.

America’s Nuclear Waste – No Solution in Sight

January 2016

America’s nuclear waste is accumulating at over seventy sites in 39 states – but there is no clear way forward for its final disposal. An international cast of experts explains how the U.S.

People

Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
Rod Ewing Rodney C. Ewing Senior Fellow Professor of Geological Sciences
Chantell Murphy Postdoctoral Fellow
Daniel Metlay Daniel Metlay Affiliate
Lynn Eden Lynn Eden Affiliate
Neil Narang Affiliate
Eva C. Uribe Affiliate
Elliot Serbin Elliot Serbin Research Assistant to Siegfried Hecker
Kevin Chen Research Assistant