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Nuclear Risk

Recent Scholarly Publications

Records 24 / 176

The unbearable lightness of luck. Three sources of overconfidence in the manageability of nuclear crises

July 2017

Overconfidence in the controllability of nuclear weapons creates danger. The passing of the last elite witness of the most dangerous nuclear crisis, i.e.

Office of the Director of National Intelligence: From Pariah and Piñata to Managing Partner

June 2017

This is a chapter in the second edition of The National Security Enterprise, a book edited by Roger Z.

A MOOC With Meaning

May 2017

Under the sponsorship of Stanford University, we designed a massive open online course (MOOC) to raise public consciousness about the past, present, and future dangers of nuclear weapons.

When Science Brought Americans and Russians Together

April 2017

Siegfried Hecker describes the scientific collaboration that took place between Russian and American nuclear weapons laboratories following the end of the Cold War.

A visit to Russia's secret nuclear labs

March 2017

In this essay, Siegfried Hecker describes a 1992 visit to nuclear facilities in the former Soviet Union.

Summary and Briefings from the Stanford-China Workshop on Reducing Risks of Nuclear Terrorism

January 2017

The Summary and Briefings from the Stanford-China Workshop on Reducing Risks of Nuclear Terrorism is the result of a collaborative project engaging researchers from the Center for International...

Questions for the presidential candidates on nuclear terrorism, proliferation, weapons policy, and energy

September 2016

Stanford expert Siegfried Hecker proposes a series of nuclear weapons and energy questions that journalists and citizens should consider asking the 2016 presidential candidates.

North Korean Nuclear Facilities After the Agreed Framework

July 2016

In January 2004, a delegation from Stanford University led by Prof. John W. Lewis and joined by one of the authors, Siegfried S.

Doomed to Cooperate

June 2016

Doomed to Cooperate tells the remarkable story of nuclear scientists from two former enemy nations, Russia and the United States, who reached across political, geographic, and cultural divides to...

Learning from a Disaster: Improving Nuclear Safety and Security After Fukushima (edited volume)

April 2016

This book—the culmination of a truly collaborative international and highly interdisciplinary effort—brings together Japanese and American political scientists, nuclear engineers, historians, and...

"I am a Radioactive Mutant": Emergent Biological Subjectivities at Kazakhstan's Semipalatinsk Nuclear Test Site

February 2016

The Semipalatinsk Nuclear Test Site in Kazakhstan was conceived as an experimental landscape where science, technology, Soviet Cold War militarism, and human biology intersected.

My Journey at the Nuclear Brink

January 2016

My Journey at the Nuclear Brink is a continuation of William J. Perry's efforts to keep the world safe from a nuclear catastrophe.

The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century

December 2015

Brad Roberts's book is a counter to the conventional wisdom that the United States can and should do more to reduce both the role of nuclear weapons in its security strategies and the number of...

Flash from the past: Why an apparent Israeli nuclear test in 1979 matters today

September 2015

The paper provides technical and circumstantial evidence that the detection of a "double flash" by a Vela satellite on 9/22/79 was that of an Israeli nuclear test logistically assisted by South...

Fear and Nuclear Terrorism

March 2015

Fear of nuclear weapons is rational, but its extension to terrorism has been a vehicle for fear-mongering that is unjustified by available data.

A Bet Portrayed as a Certainty: Reassessing the Added Deterrent Value of Nuclear Weapons (book chapter)

March 2015

In this paper, I address three of the most frequently used arguments for maintaining a significant measure of dependence for international security on nuclear deterrence both globally and...

Remembering the Cuban missile crisis, with humility

November 2014

The so-called “Cuban missile crisis” is turning 52, but it is certainly not forgotten; on the contrary, almost everyone seems to have an opinion on it.

Poor Man’s Atomic Bomb? Exploring the Relationship between “Weapons of Mass Destruction”

November 2013

Abstract The causes and consequences of nuclear proliferation have received a great deal ofacademic attention. However, nuclear weapons are rarely discussed in isolation in policycircles.

Nuclear denial: From Hiroshima to Fukushima

September 2013

Abstract: Governments and the nuclear power industry have a strong interest in playing down the harmful effects of radiation from atomic weapons and nuclear power plants.

Disowning Fukushima: Managing the credibility of nuclear reliability assessment in the wake of disaster

July 2013

Abstract: This paper reflects on the credibility of nuclear risk assessment in the wake of the 2011 Fukushima meltdowns.

The Lavon Affair: How a false-flag operation led to war and the Israeli bomb

July 2013

Abstract The Lavon Affair, a failed Israeli covert operation directed against Egypt in 1954, triggered a chain of events that have had profound consequences for power relationships in the Middle...

Making discoveries in virtual worlds via the Cloud

May 2013

Abstract:Analysts at CISAC, together with colleagues at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, are playing a leading role in deriving new, timely, and value-added information of...

Examining the Nuclear Accident at Fukushima Daiichi

June 2012

In a special edition of Elements journal that covered the one-year anniversary of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident, CISAC Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow Edward Blandford and Joonhong Ahn...

Lessons Learned from “Lessons Learned”: The Evolution of Nuclear Power Safety after Accidents and Near-Accidents

June 2012

Blandford and May review the major lessons learned from nuclear power accidents, and assess the impact those lessons have had on nuclear power, specifically, which measures were put into place to...


Rod Ewing Rodney C. Ewing Senior Fellow Professor of Geological Sciences
Scott D. Sagan Senior Fellow Professor, Political Science
David Holloway, CISAC David Holloway Senior Fellow Professor, History, Professor, Political Science
Siegfried S. Hecker Senior Fellow Professor, Management Science and Engineering
Eva Uribe Eva C. Uribe Postdoctoral Fellow
Lynn Eden Lynn Eden Affiliate
Neil Narang Affiliate
Elliot Serbin Elliot Serbin Research Assistant to Siegfried Hecker